Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 97% |
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| O/U 43.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| O/U 45.5 | 89% |
| O/U 47.5 | 86% |
| O/U 33.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| O/U 29.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 77% |
| O/U 49.5 | 77% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington | 61% |
| O/U 51.5 | 61% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Minnesota O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| O/U 27.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Minnesota O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Minnesota O/U 17.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Washington 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Washington 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 59.5 | 41% |
| O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 65.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Minnesota vs. Washington. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 61% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T03:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.1M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Minnesota vs. Washington auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Minnesota vs. Washington" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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