Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| BYU 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| Spread -5.5 | 96% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 96% |
| Spread -0.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 95% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| Spread -10.5 | 90% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 83% |
| BYU O/U 23.5 | 80% |
| BYU O/U 26.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 79% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| Spread -14.5 | 76% |
| Spread -8.5 | 74% |
| Spread -16.5 | 73% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 73% |
| Spread -17.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 58% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 54% |
| O/U 35.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| BYU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| BYU O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| BYU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| BYU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| BYU O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Iowa State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| BYU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 37.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| O/U 43.5 | 32% |
| O/U 41.5 | 27% |
| O/U 47.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| O/U 55.5 | 14% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| O/U 45.5 | 9% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 8% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| O/U 49.5 | 4% |
| O/U 51.5 | 4% |
| O/U 53.5 | 4% |
| Iowa State O/U 20.5 | 4% |
| O/U 57.5 | 3% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 3% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 3% |
| Iowa State O/U 23.5 | 3% |
| O/U 63.5 | 2% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| Iowa State vs. BYU | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| BYU 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| BYU 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Iowa State vs. BYU. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and BYU, scheduled for October 9 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. This market will resolve t…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $754K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Sofort Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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