Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Rams O/U 12.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Rams O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Broncos O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Rams O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| O/U 31.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| O/U 33.5 | 81% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| Rams O/U 16.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| Broncos O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 68% |
| Rams O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| O/U 39.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 40.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 41.5 | 61% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Rams O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| Broncos O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Rams vs. Broncos | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Broncos by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Rams Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rams vs. Broncos: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Broncos 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Rams O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Rams 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| Rams 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| O/U 45.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| O/U 46.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Broncos 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| Broncos O/U 23.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| O/U 48.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Rams O/U 26.5 | 37% |
| O/U 49.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| O/U 51.5 | 30% |
| Rams O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| Broncos O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| O/U 52.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Broncos O/U 27.5 | 23% |
| O/U 54.5 | 22% |
| O/U 55.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Rams O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| O/U 56.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 15% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| O/U 61.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Broncos O/U 30.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Rams O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Broncos O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Rams vs. Broncos" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 96% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 8:20PM ET: If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams". If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game is postponed, thi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $122K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Rams vs. Broncos auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Rams vs. Broncos" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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