Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 94% |
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Bengals O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| O/U 29.5 | 87% |
| O/U 30.5 | 83% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| O/U 31.5 | 82% |
| O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 78% |
| O/U 33.5 | 77% |
| Bengals O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 35.5 | 73% |
| O/U 34.5 | 73% |
| O/U 36.5 | 69% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 12.5 | 69% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| O/U 38.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 39.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 60% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| O/U 40.5 | 56% |
| O/U 41.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Bengals O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Steelers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 42.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 43.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 44.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| O/U 46.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 48.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| O/U 49.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 50.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| O/U 51.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| O/U 52.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 21% |
| O/U 53.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 54.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 56.5 | 15% |
| O/U 55.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Bengals O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 60.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| O/U 61.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| O/U 63.5 | 6% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| O/U 64.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Bengals vs. Steelers — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 94%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If the game is postpo…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $254K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Bengals vs. Steelers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Sofort Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Bengals vs. Steelers" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →