Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 20.5 | 96% |
| O/U 22.5 | 95% |
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 18.5 | 92% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| O/U 30.5 | 85% |
| Browns O/U 10.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 34.5 | 74% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 36.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| O/U 38.5 | 62% |
| O/U 39.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Panthers vs. Browns | 56% |
| O/U 40.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 54% |
| Browns O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Browns O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Browns O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Browns 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers vs. Browns: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Browns O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Browns O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| O/U 42.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 46% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 44.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| O/U 46.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 32% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Browns 1H O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 50.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 52.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Browns 1H O/U 16.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 54.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| O/U 56.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Browns 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| Browns 1H O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 96% Chance für prognose: panthers vs. browns. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If Browns wins, the market will resolve to "Browns". If …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $181K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Sofort Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Sofort Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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