Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Sofort Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 88% |
| O/U 29.5 | 87% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 35.5 | 74% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| Kent State O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Kent State O/U 23.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Ball State O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Ball State O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| O/U 47.5 | 47% |
| Kent State O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State | 41% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 35% |
| Spread -12.5 | 34% |
| Spread -0.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 53.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 57.5 | 23% |
| O/U 59.5 | 20% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| O/U 63.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| O/U 67.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
Markt-Kontext
Ball State vs. Kent State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 44% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $300K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Sofort Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Sofort Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Ball State vs. Kent State" auf Sofort Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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